Tuesday, January 01, 2019 by Tim Webb
2018 was an alright year. It might not have been a spectacular year, but I think 2016 did an excellent job of lowering our expectations. I didn't have to eulogize David Bowie in 2018, so I'm counting it as a win.
For me personally it was a roller coaster... if there was a roller coaster where halfway through the ride Apple comes along to punch you in the dick. I seriously spent most of the year working on the new AppKaiju site, only to learn halfway through that all of my work was never going to pay off. And oh, yeah, discchord was also in jeopardy of becoming financially unsustainable.
At my lowest point in 2018 the community truly stepped up to help me keep this site alive. Thank you so much to every single person who has helped support the site! I am so deeply grateful.
You empower me to continue to do what I love here, instead of moving on to some corporate gig. I'm not even sure I'd fit in, in a corporate environment anymore. I've been self-employed since my mid-20's. I'd probably seem feral in an office setting.
Before we look into the future to predict what 2019 holds, let's look back at our predictions for 2018.
Ion677 expected more goodies from Bram Bos in 2018 and was not disappointed, with Perforator and Kosmonaut both releasing in 2018.
Dendy successfully predicted a mobile Reason, though he probably feels that Reason Compact is a bit of a fail.
Enkerli took a shotgun approach to his predictions, missing on nearly all of them, but he hit a good one with "Devs will continue to push for subscription models. One of them might succeed." BLEASS has been trying very hard to be that first successful subscription music app, with amusing videos, and community engagement.
Jim Hanks made the most accurate NanoStudio 2 prediction ever. People have been making NanoStudio 2 predictions since I started doing these, but they've all fallen into the failed column. Jim expected we'd see NanoStudio finally release in 2018, and further predicted that it wouldn't have audio tracks by year's end.
Red Sky Lullaby successfully predicted that Bitcoin was going to lose a lot of people a lot of money in 2018. The crypo collapse has been so significant that Todd Smith, an ardent crypto enthusiast, changed his YouTube name from Blockchain Music to Todd Smith Music. I don't even want to know how much he lost this year.
Red Sky Lullaby was also trying to keep hope alive for a 2018 Samplr update, but the app remains untouched since 2014 so he gets a fail too. That's two years in a row on this one!
Erik thought I might finally buy a Mac in 2018. He was, and will continue to be, wrong about that. I'm not making that much money from the site that I can go blowing money on a Mac. I did get a new computer in
2018, but it was a self-built PC for about a third of the price of a similarly spec'd Mac.
Erik and TBIRD both thought we might see Ableton iOS, but Ableton remains puzzlingly absent.
Heretik7 got a whole lot of things wrong, including BM3 on iPhone; which was a common theme.
A bunch of folks were expecting Apple to release some of their Pro music apps on iOS, but Apple failed to deliver. Mainstage was mentioned a lot. While Apple didn't bring us Mainstage in 2018, we did get Camelot Pro.
What's Coming in 2019?
One of the most common predictions last year was that Apple would completely collapse, as they have in the past without Steve. They instead became a Trillion Dollar company, but along the way they've made a lot of decisions that have left people perplexed or flat-out angry.
This might be the opportunity Android needs to finally become a competitive alternative for music makers. In late 2018 Android got a low latency audio driver, and Audioroute as an Audiobus equivalent.
My 2019 prediction is once again the vain hope that Android Music Apps will finally be a thing!
Open Mic: New Year's Predictions for 2019!
In the comments here please share your predictions for what we'll see in 2019!