Monday, January 02, 2017 by Tim Webb
Happy New Year everyone! If you can read this, you survived what has been an hellacious year.
Now let's all sincerely hope 2017 is better. This seems like a vain effort with the way global political events are unfolding, but I'm a terminal optimist. I'd rather face certain doom with a smile on my face and hope in my heart.
In the spirit of optimism, let's assume there will be anyone left to read the site in 2018; as we continue our annual tradition of predictions for the coming year. But first let's look at our predictions for 2016.
Red Sky Lullaby started off strong with his prediction of Ableton Link becoming prevalent throughout the app world, but his further prediction of BeatMaker 3's arrival was a miss.
tGiG got quite a lot wrong in his predictions, but ended with a surprisingly prescient prediction in that iOS 10, "will NOT absolutely devastate the iOS music community, for once!" As iOS updates go, 10 was pretty minimal, but I'm calling this a success because it was certainly the least devastating so far.
Littlewoodg predicted that the music app community would continue to ignore Android. He also mentioned a specific app for Android a few times, but I ignored it. Success!
Steve, aka Frozen Lonesome, predicted he'd get an iPad Pro to finally run Auria Pro. I emailed him this morning to find out if this was an accurate prediction. He did both of these things in September!
Crème Douche took a stab in the dark at, "Something new from Moog?" He goes on to explore some kind of modular synthesizer scenario. While not exactly as he described it, this is perhaps the most successful prediction thanks to Moog's release of Model 15 in May. Matt also predicted a synth app from Moog.
Fran_K predicted an overhaul to the App Store, where shit apps would be relegated to their own category, so they wouldn't pollute searches. While a nice idea, there has been no change whatsoever to the App Store categories. It's still a mess, and they seem unwilling to make any changes.
Heretik7 had a series of failed predictions in his comment; including BeatMaker 3, Apple bringing back Alchemy Mobile for everyone, and Propellerheads releasing a Reason Mobile to take advantage of iPad Pro hardware.
Nonny Moose incorrectly predicted 2016 would see the release of the now long-awaited NanoStudio 2!
Similarly Lacm1993 expected Audiobus 3 in 2016, which seemed like a safe bet at the time.
What's coming in 2017?
Last year I predicted we'd see large music manufacturers making a bigger shift to iOS, beyond simple editors. While this one definitely fits into the fails, I'm sticking to my guns. The reasoning is sound. Last year I said:
"I think at this point music apps have reached maturity; we've all seen that this is not a fad. It's time for the bigger, slower moving, companies to take it very seriously!"
This remains true. We're just waiting for those companies to realize it. I guess it will take them a while...
My prediction for 2017 is based on what I've been noticing lately as a trend within the community. I expect in 2017 we're going to see a lot more personalities pop up on YouTube bringing us well produced content. For most of 2015 and 2016 if you wanted to watch a video for an app you were almost entirely limited to seeing those videos from Doug, Jakob, or myself. Lately we've been seeing more and more people try their hand at videos. Very few of those are of the quality you've come to expect, but remember that all 3 of us sucked when we started. Our first videos were all awful. It took nearly a year before Doug would even record his videos with direct app audio, and my first year was marred with horrible video quality problems. I think these guys experimenting and dipping their toes into iOS videos today are going to blow us away in 2017!
Open Mic: New Year's Predictions for 2017!
The year Two Thousand and Seventeen sounds like some pretty far off future, but here it is. What do you predict we'll see in the coming year of our high-tech future?